Also including thoughts on the latest Budget speculation, paying interest on reserves, the latest from the OECD and IMF, Carney and Blair’s EU fantasies, and what’s really happening to consumer confidence... Theme of the Week It’s party conference season, so politicians will not let a mere fiscal crisis disrupt the usual competition to see who … Continue reading Weekly wrap: Tax cut talk – the good, the bad, and the ugly
Tag: consumer confidence
Weekly wrap – is UK productivity finally recovering?
Including thoughts on the latest news from the labour market (not all bad), signs that the economy retains some positive momentum, and what could still go wrong - including autumn hikes in both taxes and interest rates. Theme of the Week This week’s official labour market data were grim. The UK economy continues to shed payroll jobs, … Continue reading Weekly wrap – is UK productivity finally recovering?
Don’t bank on a “Burnham bounce”
Andy Burnham's first week as PM has coincided with some better economic news. The more positive tone from No.10 may help a little further, but the inflation and fiscal risks haven't gone away. Andy Burnham’s first week as Prime Minister has coincided with some better news on the UK economy and especially on business and … Continue reading Don’t bank on a “Burnham bounce”
Is the UK economy “turning the corner”?
The past week was packed with new data releases which sent some mixed signals on the health of the UK economy and the prospects for 2026. This note takes stock. The most encouraging news came from the latest S&P Global Flash UK PMI Composite Output Index, which jumped to 53.9 in January from 51.4 in December. … Continue reading Is the UK economy “turning the corner”?
