Tag: GDP

Subdued money growth should limit inflation risks

The jump in UK inflation from 3.0% to 3.3% in March is obviously bad news but not quite as bad as some had feared (or at least no worse). In particular, the Bank of England had expected this number to be “close to 3½%” when interest rates were left on hold last month. Moreover, this jump can … Continue reading Subdued money growth should limit inflation risks

The Bank is right to talk tough on inflation

The Bank of England MPC’s decision to keep interest rates on hold this week was widely predicted, but the accompanying language was more hawkish than expected. The clear message was that the Bank no longer has a bias towards further cuts and is now ready to change rates in either direction. This has already triggered a sharp … Continue reading The Bank is right to talk tough on inflation

Spring Statement was yet another missed opportunity

The Chancellor’s Spring Statement sent a signal of “steady as she goes”. Unfortunately, what was really needed is a change of course. There was plenty of party political knockabout, but no major policy announcements and nothing to lift the spirits of consumers or businesses. This might have been fine if all were well. But there is little … Continue reading Spring Statement was yet another missed opportunity

Better UK economic news owes little to Labour’s policy choices

Friday was a relatively good day for UK economic data, with the latest news on the public finances, retail sales, and the PMI survey all better than expected. This followed Wednesday’s confirmation that headline inflation fell back in January. But is this really evidence that the worst is over – and are the Labour government … Continue reading Better UK economic news owes little to Labour’s policy choices