The new Government is clearly in an almighty mess, but I’ll leave the political commentary to others. Here are some thoughts on the economics and the markets. Let’s start by summarising what went wrong. The tipping point was the mini-Budget in September. The mistake here was not the Energy Price Guarantee, or the cancellation of … Continue reading Can ‘Trussonomics’ survive?
It may well take some time for the dust to settle on Kwasi Kwarteng’s first Budget (yes, ‘Budget’: if it looks like a duck, walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, then it’s fair to call it a duck). The initial reaction from most economic commentators and in the financial markets has been … Continue reading ‘Morning after’ reflections on the mini-Budget…
The old saying that a ‘week is a long time in politics’ can rarely have been more apt. The changes in Westminster have been overshadowed by the transition in the Monarchy. But the new Prime Minister has also begun to tackle the challenges facing the UK economy. The first big policy announcement was a freeze … Continue reading What have we learned from the first week of ‘Trussonomics’?
If you believe some of the headlines, the global economic shocks are already hitting ‘Brexit Britain’ much harder than other countries. Even the Bank of England governor, Andrew Bailey, has warned that inflation is set to be higher for longer in the UK, and growth weaker. The IMF, OECD and currency traders all apparently agree, … Continue reading Is ‘Brexit Britain’ really the ‘sick man of Europe’?