How the numbers in the CBI Economics report are being spun to mislead, and why Italy and Spain are not good benchmarks for the performance of ‘Brexit Britain’… Welcome to the third weekly wrap of key points from my social media posts. These wraps will typically include a mix of comments on the UK and … Continue reading Weekly wrap: is the ‘net zero’ economy really worth £105 billion?
Tag: GDP
Weekly wrap – the UK is heading for “stagflation-lite”
Although not as bad as the dark days of the 1970s, the UK economy is heading for a period of falling activity, rising inflation, and higher unemployment. Government tinkering with prices won't help. By overwhelming popular demand (Sid and Doris Bonkers), I’m launching a weekly wrap of the key points made in my social media … Continue reading Weekly wrap – the UK is heading for “stagflation-lite”
How much should we worry about surging gilt yields?
Investors are mainly being spooked by global inflation fears, not UK politics. But the additional uncertainty created by the crisis in the Labour government is definitely not helping! Once again, UK government bonds (aka gilts) are making the news again, and not in a good way. The yields on these bonds can be read as … Continue reading How much should we worry about surging gilt yields?
“As good as it gets” (reprise)
The strong growth in UK GDP reported in the first quarter will not be sustained. At best the economy is set to stagnate again in the second quarter, and possibly in the third too. Some good news for a change. The first official estimate for the first quarter confirmed that the UK economy made a flying start … Continue reading “As good as it gets” (reprise)
Plain-speaking Economics 