The Bank of England may finally be ready to take the foot off the accelerator – at last. The latest economic data already seem to have persuaded some members of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) that the time to scale back the emergency stimulus is fast approaching. I think this should start at the August … Continue reading Bank of England needs to act now to curb inflation risks
Consumers, businesses, and investors are increasingly optimistic about the prospects for the UK economy, and independent forecasts are continually being revised up. Policymakers at the Treasury and Bank of England should now be reassessing their plans too. The consensus at the start of the year was that UK GDP would grow by around 4% in … Continue reading It’s time to pause QE
Many people have written about how the ‘spectre of inflation’ has returned to haunt investors. In fact, the financial markets are still remarkably sanguine, reassured by dovish comments from central banks. This was reasonable in the depths of the Covid recession. Now it looks increasingly complacent. There has already been a sharp rise in government … Continue reading How much should we worry about inflation?