Including thoughts on UK GDP, “rocket and feather” pricing at the pumps, should the BoE follow the ECB, US bond market intervention, German defence spending, and the latest UK evidence on “second round” effects... Theme of the Week The reassuringly strong GDP data added to evidence that the UK economy is holding up better than … Continue reading Weekly wrap – Has the UK economy really “turned the corner”?
Tag: Budget
Six takeaways from John Healey’s “Growth Speech”
The Chancellor’s speech had some positives as well as negatives, and perhaps revealed something about interdepartmental rivalries too. But the chasm between rhetoric and reality seems as wide as ever. Six points struck me about John Healey’s first major speech as Chancellor on Monday. The first was that he was giving it all. This is not … Continue reading Six takeaways from John Healey’s “Growth Speech”
A sceptical first take on moving growth policy from HMT to No.10 North
“Treasury Orthodoxy” gets a bad rap. Shuffling responsibilities is pointless unless the policy choices improve. And the fiscal rules, OBR, and bond market vigilantes will all still be big constraints. Andy Burnham has announced that responsibility for national economic growth policy will move from HM Treasury to No.10 North. I am surprised that this announcement … Continue reading A sceptical first take on moving growth policy from HMT to No.10 North
Weekly wrap – Is the NHS really a good model for social care?
A review of news over the past seven days, including thoughts on Burnham’s ambitions for a National Care Service and the case for a small increase in interest rates (“a stitch in time...?). Theme of the week Some first thoughts on Andy Burnham’s ambitions for a National Care Service (NCS)... There are four key questions. … Continue reading Weekly wrap – Is the NHS really a good model for social care?
