The spotlight is on Andy Burnham, but the immediate prospects both for UK markets and for the economy may depend more on events in the Middle East than in Westminster for quite a while yet. Welcome to the latest summary of news that caught my eye over the past seven days. Theme of the week … Continue reading Weekly wrap: don’t forget the US-Iran war…
Tag: gilt yields
Weekly wrap: more heat than light from the politicians
Politics is heating up for the summer, but there were at least a few more reasons to hope that underlying inflation pressures may be starting to cool. This is the second weekly wrap of the key points from my social media posts on the UK economy, on the markets, and occasionally on the politics too. … Continue reading Weekly wrap: more heat than light from the politicians
The case for a late Budget
The Chancellor has confirmed that the date of the Autumn Budget will be Wednesday 26 November. This is relatively late, raising fears that a longer period of speculation and uncertainty will undermine confidence even further, but there are always trade-offs. I can think of five reasons why waiting might make sense. First, and perhaps most … Continue reading The case for a late Budget
How could a bond market crisis unfold?
The yields on UK government bonds, commonly known as “gilts”, are now consistently the highest among the G7 group of advanced economies. Why is this, and why should the rest of us care? The numbers alone are disturbing. The cost of new government borrowing for ten years is now around 4.8% in the UK, compared … Continue reading How could a bond market crisis unfold?
Plain-speaking Economics 