The Brexit Debates: Has Brexit been good for Britain’s economy?

400 words for The Independent, published on 24 June 2026 A decade ago, the British people voted to leave the EU and restore sovereignty to the UK government. Westminster has since regained control over laws and borders, run its own trade policy, and saved tens of billions of pounds in contributions to the EU budget. … Continue reading The Brexit Debates: Has Brexit been good for Britain’s economy?

Six charts to mark “Brexit at 10”

Here is a selection of charts designed to challenge some of the shakier claims about the economic impacts of Brexit, including on the pound, investment, food prices, trade, and overall GDP. Many newspapers and magazines have published sets of charts to mark the tenth anniversary of the UK’s vote to leave the EU – most … Continue reading Six charts to mark “Brexit at 10”

Weekly wrap: “meet the new boss, same as the old boss”?

Andy Burnham is now a shoo-in to replace Keir Starmer as PM. Indeed, he has already U-turned almost as often. But his pick as Chancellor and any talk of new fiscal rules could still move markets. Welcome to the latest weekly wrap of the key points from my social media posts. Monday 15 June On … Continue reading Weekly wrap: “meet the new boss, same as the old boss”?

The Bank is unlikely to raise rates this week, but maybe it should?

There are three good reasons to expect the Bank of England’s MPC to “wait and see” for at least another month. Nonetheless, there may be one even better reason to pull the trigger now - "credibility". A Reuters poll of sixty-five economists last week found that all sixty-five expect the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee to … Continue reading The Bank is unlikely to raise rates this week, but maybe it should?