Ouch! It looks increasingly likely that the headline measure of consumer price inflation is going to start with a '9' in April...
Here are the slides from a virtual talk I gave today to a group of students from years 10 to 13... brexit-and-covid-25-april-2022-1Download
Here are the slides from a talk I gave this week to A-level students of economics and politics... free-trade-february-2022Download
I’ve just updated my UK GDP forecasts with today’s data for November. Here are ten key points, including some international comparisons. 1. UK economic growth in 2021 is likely to be just shy of 7½%, 1% higher than assumed in the October Budget and 3% higher than the consensus in the Treasury survey at the … Continue reading Consensus is too pessimistic on the UK economy (again)