The claim that Brexit has already shrunk the UK economy by “as much as 8%” is based on flawed analysis and should not be relied upon – especially as an argument for rejoining the EU. This blog looks again at one of the most common ways of estimating the “economic damage” allegedly done by Brexit, … Continue reading Three reasons why you should never trust a “doppelgänger”
Tag: Brexit
The UK economy is trapped in a “doom loop” by a clueless government
The early omens for 2026 are not good. The UK is stumbling into the New Year on the brink of recession. Indeed, the economy stopped growing last summer as Budget jitters began to undermine confidence and spending again. Only some favourable rounding in August prevented headline GDP from falling in every month from July to … Continue reading The UK economy is trapped in a “doom loop” by a clueless government
Where’s the beef?
Last Friday the Daily Telegraph ran a story headlined “Farmers’ anger grows as Australian beef floods into Britain”. It took a couple of days for the usual suspects to pounce on this, but once a few did the rest piled in. Various halfwits and attention seekers rushed to trumpet this story as fresh evidence that … Continue reading Where’s the beef?
Four reasons to resist the siren calls for a new ‘customs union’
The Liberal Democrats have long argued in favour of some new form of ‘customs union’ between the UK and the EU. But it now appears that key figures in the Labour administration are swinging behind the idea as well, including the Prime Minister’s chief economic adviser Minouche Shafik and Treasury minister Torsten Bell. These two … Continue reading Four reasons to resist the siren calls for a new ‘customs union’
Plain-speaking Economics 