There is now a bewildering range of estimates for the harm that Brexit is supposed to have done to the UK economy, or the benefits of rejoining the EU. Indeed, pro-EU accounts often present several inconsistent figures as if each were established facts – even in the same post! Here is a brief rundown of … Continue reading Explainer – debunking the dodgy stats used by Project Rejoin
Tag: NBER
Three reasons why you should never trust a “doppelgänger”
The claim that Brexit has already shrunk the UK economy by “as much as 8%” is based on flawed analysis and should not be relied upon – especially as an argument for rejoining the EU. This blog looks again at one of the most common ways of estimating the “economic damage” allegedly done by Brexit, … Continue reading Three reasons why you should never trust a “doppelgänger”
What the NBER got wrong on the ‘Economic Impact of Brexit’
I’ve finally found time to review the NBER Working Paper which claims that Brexit has reduced UK GDP by as much as 8% since the vote to leave in 2016. As Martin Wolf writes in today’s Financial Times, “if this is even roughly correct, Brexit has been nothing short of an economic disaster”. But I think … Continue reading What the NBER got wrong on the ‘Economic Impact of Brexit’
Plain-speaking Economics 