Author: julianhjessop

Is Britain really fated for economic decline?

Another day, another flurry of bad news on the fallout from October’s Budget. The BDO Monthly Business Trends indices - which pull together the results of all the main UK business surveys – show that confidence has fallen to the lowest level in almost two years, with output and employment down, and only inflation up. … Continue reading Is Britain really fated for economic decline?

The real ‘black hole’ is in public sector productivity

The Nobel Prize-winning economist, Paul Krugman, once famously said that “productivity isn’t everything, but in the long run it is almost everything”. If so, the UK has a huge problem – and that problem is particularly acute in the public sector. Official estimates released last week suggest that public service productivity was an astonishing 8.5 … Continue reading The real ‘black hole’ is in public sector productivity

More pain to come as Budget measures bite

The jump in inflation in October was not a big surprise after the 10% increase in household fuel bills, but the cost-of-living crisis will worsen before it gets better. Most commentators expect the measures in last month’s Budget to add to inflation next year, as businesses pass on the costs of the large increases in … Continue reading More pain to come as Budget measures bite

The Budget has just made the Bank’s job even harder

It is good to start for once with some praise for the Bank of England. After the Halloween Budget in the UK and the fireworks of election night in the US, the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee helped to calm the nerves by delivering the expected quarter point cut in interest rates (to 4.75pc) on Thursday. … Continue reading The Budget has just made the Bank’s job even harder