"Now it’s official. The Government’s own fiscal watchdog has confirmed that Brexit will shrink the UK economy by 4pc, costing the average household thousands of pounds." This is how many are interpreting the latest analysis by the independent Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), which was published alongside the October Budget. This analysis seems to be … Continue reading Will Brexit really shrink the UK economy by 4 per cent?
Here are the slides from a presentation I made today to university students of economics and business studies... brexit-presentation-3-nov-2021-1Download
Many diehard Remainers are still claiming that UK exports to the EU have been permanently crippled by Brexit, and that UK imports will fall further. But the evidence is stacking up against them. Admittedly, the widely expected decision to delay the full introduction of UK border checks might suggest that there is worse to come. The Government … Continue reading What’s the real story on UK-EU trade?
Many people raised concerns about the patchy coverage of services in the Brexit deal negotiated between the UK and EU, known as the Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA). The gaps have already caused some significant problems, especially for smaller firms. In principle, the TCA offered extensive market access for UK services businesses, including the mutual … Continue reading Brexit Britain’s resilient services sector is proving the gloomsters wrong