Better news on inflation might lower bond yields regardless of the changes in Downing Street. But it seems more likely that honeymoon disappointment and Budget speculation will sap confidence further. This Friday, Andy Burnham is set to be confirmed as the new leader of the Labour Party and hence as the next Prime Minister of … Continue reading Another lurch to the left under Burnham could tip the economy over
Tag: economics
Why Gary Stevenson is wrong on (almost) everything
Mercifully, we may now be at "peak Gary", but there seems to be an endless appetite for the sort of slop he has been feeding the unfortunate for many years... If you have not yet heard of Gary Stevenson, consider yourself lucky. The self-styled “world’s top trader” turned leading economist has been a fixture on … Continue reading Why Gary Stevenson is wrong on (almost) everything
Six charts to mark “Brexit at 10”
Here is a selection of charts designed to challenge some of the shakier claims about the economic impacts of Brexit, including on the pound, investment, food prices, trade, and overall GDP. Many newspapers and magazines have published sets of charts to mark the tenth anniversary of the UK’s vote to leave the EU – most … Continue reading Six charts to mark “Brexit at 10”
The Bank is unlikely to raise rates this week, but maybe it should?
There are three good reasons to expect the Bank of England’s MPC to “wait and see” for at least another month. Nonetheless, there may be one even better reason to pull the trigger now - "credibility". A Reuters poll of sixty-five economists last week found that all sixty-five expect the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee to … Continue reading The Bank is unlikely to raise rates this week, but maybe it should?
Plain-speaking Economics 