Category: Labour markets

Why Reform’s tax-free overtime plan is a bad idea

Reform’s proposed tax break on overtime is likely to feature prominently in the Makerfield pitch. But it is also yet another example of a policy that is both good politics and terrible economics. The Reform party is proposing that people who earn less than £75,000 and work overtime above a 40-hour week will pay no income tax … Continue reading Why Reform’s tax-free overtime plan is a bad idea

“As good as it gets” (reprise)

The strong growth in UK GDP reported in the first quarter will not be sustained. At best the economy is set to stagnate again in the second quarter, and possibly in the third too. Some good news for a change. The first official estimate for the first quarter confirmed that the UK economy made a flying start … Continue reading “As good as it gets” (reprise)

Rachel Reeves can’t escape blame for this mess

Now, perhaps more than ever, Britain needs a stronger Chancellor The question no longer seems to be whether Keir Starmer will survive, but when and how he will go, and who will succeed him. Even if the Prime Minister clings on for a few more weeks or months, his authority is shot. Either way, the … Continue reading Rachel Reeves can’t escape blame for this mess

Subdued money growth should limit inflation risks

The jump in UK inflation from 3.0% to 3.3% in March is obviously bad news but not quite as bad as some had feared (or at least no worse). In particular, the Bank of England had expected this number to be “close to 3½%” when interest rates were left on hold last month. Moreover, this jump can … Continue reading Subdued money growth should limit inflation risks