Category: global economy

UK Q1 GDP: as good as it gets?

The first official estimates suggest that the UK economy grew by 0.7% in the first quarter of the year, which was better than most had expected. GDP per head increased by a respectable 0.5%. On the bright side, this should trigger a wave of upward revisions to growth forecasts for 2025 as a whole. (I … Continue reading UK Q1 GDP: as good as it gets?

What to make of Trump’s tariffs?

Here are the slides from a presentation I gave today to sixth form students at a school in Reading. It features a discussion of the pros and (mostly) cons of the new US tariffs policy and concludes with a recommended book and a film for budding economists! What to make of Trump's tariffs (9 May … Continue reading What to make of Trump’s tariffs?

Classical Liberal solutions to the productivity puzzle

Here are the slides from a presentation I gave at the IEA today on the slowdown in productivity growth in the UK and other major economies since the Global Financial Crisis of 2008 - aka the 'productivity puzzle'. It concludes with some proposed solutions in the Classical Liberal tradition... Classical Liberal solutions to the productivity … Continue reading Classical Liberal solutions to the productivity puzzle

President Trump is gradually undermining confidence in the dollar, one tirade at a time

Donald Trump’s latest tirade against the head of the US central bank is so obviously negative for the dollar that you have to wonder whether the President is deliberately trying to undermine the US currency. Remarkably, the answer may indeed be ‘yes’. On Monday, Trump used his social media platform to call Federal Reserve Chair … Continue reading President Trump is gradually undermining confidence in the dollar, one tirade at a time