Tuesday’s official data on the state of the UK labour market have been interpreted in several conflicting ways, so here is an attempt to cut through the fog. I took two main points from the figures themselves. First, activity in the labour market continues to cool. I would not pay much attention to the headline … Continue reading What to make of today’s UK jobs data
Tag: economy
Fourth quarter GDP ‘boost’ is nothing to cheer
The first official figures for UK GDP in the final quarter of last year may not have been quite as bad as expected, but it says a lot that some are keen to trumpet economic growth of just 0.1% as ‘good news' and a much-needed 'boost' for Rachel Reeves. Quarterly growth of at least 0.4% … Continue reading Fourth quarter GDP ‘boost’ is nothing to cheer
Crashing UK economy needs lower rates
ICYMI, here’s a summary of my comments on X (formerly Twitter) on today’s Bank of England announcement… The Bank of England’s decision to cut interest rates by ¼% to 4½% was welcome but completely overshadowed by a gloomy set of forecasts. The MPC has been forced to act because the UK economy is crashing. The … Continue reading Crashing UK economy needs lower rates
Trump’s new tariffs are bad for the US – and probably for Britain too
A recent survey by the pollsters Opinium found that, whatever they may think of Donald Trump as a person, a majority of Brits actually like his policies. In most cases this made sense. But the new-found enthusiasm for trade protectionism is worrying and, if I may say so, distinctly un-British. The downsides are already showing. … Continue reading Trump’s new tariffs are bad for the US – and probably for Britain too
Plain-speaking Economics 