The larger than anticipated jump in UK inflation in April has prompted many to argue that the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee will now be much slower to cut interest rates. But there is, of course, nothing that the MPC can do now about last month’s CPI. The right question to ask is what … Continue reading No, the MPC doesn’t have a time machine…
Tag: bank of england
UK Q1 GDP: as good as it gets?
The first official estimates suggest that the UK economy grew by 0.7% in the first quarter of the year, which was better than most had expected. GDP per head increased by a respectable 0.5%. On the bright side, this should trigger a wave of upward revisions to growth forecasts for 2025 as a whole. (I … Continue reading UK Q1 GDP: as good as it gets?
President Trump is gradually undermining confidence in the dollar, one tirade at a time
Donald Trump’s latest tirade against the head of the US central bank is so obviously negative for the dollar that you have to wonder whether the President is deliberately trying to undermine the US currency. Remarkably, the answer may indeed be ‘yes’. On Monday, Trump used his social media platform to call Federal Reserve Chair … Continue reading President Trump is gradually undermining confidence in the dollar, one tirade at a time
A presentation on the UK economy and monetary policy
Here are the slides from a presentation I gave earlier today to the Shadow Monetary Policy Committee hosted by the IEA. This covered the latest news on the global and the UK economies, the state of play on tariffs, the economic consequences of Mr Trump, how central banks should respond, and how I would vote … Continue reading A presentation on the UK economy and monetary policy
Plain-speaking Economics 