The first official estimates suggest that the UK economy grew by 0.7% in the first quarter of the year, which was better than most had expected. GDP per head increased by a respectable 0.5%. On the bright side, this should trigger a wave of upward revisions to growth forecasts for 2025 as a whole. (I … Continue reading UK Q1 GDP: as good as it gets?
Category: Taxation
UK-India trade deal is a win-win, despite fears over NI exemptions
The last 24 hours have been frustrating and, frankly, a little weird. ‘Frustrating’ because the benefits of the new UK-India trade deal – a clear Brexit win – are still being overshadowed by the row over social security contributions. ‘Weird’ because I have found myself siding with a Labour government against many people who I … Continue reading UK-India trade deal is a win-win, despite fears over NI exemptions
The Government should hold the line on public sector pay
The independent pay review bodies are reportedly set to recommend pay increases of around 3pc for NHS staff and 4pc for teachers. However, the Government has only budgeted for a 2.8pc increase for public sector workers. This is broadly in line with expected price rises over the coming year, but still higher than the Bank … Continue reading The Government should hold the line on public sector pay
Trump wins! / backs down! (pick your own headline)
This is the first time I have ever had to post twice in one day on the same topic, but here goes... President Trump has just raised tariffs on China to 125%. However, he has also announced a 90-day pause on the 'reciprocal tariffs' for those countries that have not yet retaliated. On balance this … Continue reading Trump wins! / backs down! (pick your own headline)
Plain-speaking Economics 