Category: Taxation

The Government should hold the line on public sector pay

The independent pay review bodies are reportedly set to recommend pay increases of around 3pc for NHS staff and 4pc for teachers. However, the Government has only budgeted for a 2.8pc increase for public sector workers. This is broadly in line with expected price rises over the coming year, but still higher than the Bank … Continue reading The Government should hold the line on public sector pay →

Trump wins! / backs down! (pick your own headline)

This is the first time I have ever had to post twice in one day on the same topic, but here goes... President Trump has just raised tariffs on China to 125%. However, he has also announced a 90-day pause on the 'reciprocal tariffs' for those countries that have not yet retaliated. On balance this … Continue reading Trump wins! / backs down! (pick your own headline) →

What to make of the latest market turmoil

A week on from ‘Liberation Day’, Trump’s tariffs have not landed well in the financial markets, especially with a tit-for-tat trade war now breaking out between the US and China. That much is obvious. But there is still a lot to unpick. The simplest place to start is the stock markets. The US S&P 500 … Continue reading What to make of the latest market turmoil →

Thirteen questions and twelve answers on Trump’s tariff war

By popular demand, here is a bitesize Q&A on tariffs. In short, there are no winners from a trade war, but it is not too late to avoid a global recession. For now, ‘wait and see’ may be the best strategy both for central bankers and investors. 1. Do the new ‘reciprocal tariffs’ make any … Continue reading Thirteen questions and twelve answers on Trump’s tariff war →