Including thoughts on the Budget, government bond yields, the folly of reopening the Brexit debate, some better news on UK growth, the OBR 15 years on, and Zack Polanski’s grasp of basic economics... Theme of the Week Labour sources are suggesting that the new Chancellor, John Healey, is set to delay ‘difficult choices’ with a … Continue reading Weekly wrap – Budget fears might ease, but Brexit uncertainty is back
Category: Applied economics
Why raising the personal allowance would be the wrong tax cut
A large increase in the personal allowance would not be a good way to cut taxes, whether the goal is to boost economic growth or to help the poor, and regardless of how it would be financed. There is now remarkably broad support for a large rise in the standard Personal Allowance (PA), which is … Continue reading Why raising the personal allowance would be the wrong tax cut
Weekly wrap: Tax cut talk – the good, the bad, and the ugly
Also including thoughts on the latest Budget speculation, paying interest on reserves, the latest from the OECD and IMF, Carney and Blair’s EU fantasies, and what’s really happening to consumer confidence... Theme of the Week It’s party conference season, so politicians will not let a mere fiscal crisis disrupt the usual competition to see who … Continue reading Weekly wrap: Tax cut talk – the good, the bad, and the ugly
What to make of the new OECD forecasts
The OECD is not really in the forecasting business and its projections are no more interesting than any others. But the consistent policy messages from the OECD and IMF might carry more weight. Frankly, my advice is to ignore the latest OECD projections - they don’t tell us anything that we don’t already know, and … Continue reading What to make of the new OECD forecasts
