The Trump administration’s decision to impose additional tariffs on imports into the US is bad economics, motivated at least in part by bad politics. TTo recap, the new “reciprocal tariffs” will be set according to the 2024 figures for US trade in goods - completely ignoring trade in services. They are based on a formula … Continue reading Trump’s ‘reciprocal tariffs’ make no economic sense
Tag: Tariffs
Why the UK should cut tariffs on the US, not raise them
The siren calls for retaliation against the US if President Trump imposes new tariffs on the UK remind me of this exchange from 'Braveheart'.... Longshanks: Archers! English Commander: I beg pardon, sire. Won't we hit our own troops? Longshanks: Yes... but we'll hit theirs as well. The serious point here is that tariffs hurt people … Continue reading Why the UK should cut tariffs on the US, not raise them
10 things to look for in the Spring Statement
Here is a short post on some key points to watch for tomorrow when the Chancellor presents her ‘Spring Statement’ to the UK parliament (at about 12.30). More questions than answers, I’m afraid, but I will follow up once we know more! 1. The immediate outlook for growth. The OBR is widely expected to halve … Continue reading 10 things to look for in the Spring Statement
UK economic and policy outlook
In case of wider interest, here are the slides from a brief presentation I made today. It was mostly gloomy, but did include some reasons for optimism... UK economic and policy outlook (24 February 2025)Download
