Here are the slides (with a few tweaks and additions) from a presentation I made recently to an audience of economists in London. The presentation covers some strengths and weaknesses of the OBR's Brexit analysis and of 'doppelganger' models, and attempts to correct some common misunderstandings. It also includes some of my favourite charts! Brexit … Continue reading A presentation on Brexit
Tag: inflation
Bank of England rate cut should be the first of many
The Bank of England’s decision to cut UK interest rates to 5% this week was finely balanced but surely correct. The aim now should be to return rates to a 'neutral' level of around 4% early next year. The obvious starting point is that CPI inflation has now been at or very close to the … Continue reading Bank of England rate cut should be the first of many
Broken Britain: can a Labour government fix it?
Keir Starmer’s suited and rebooted Labour Party looks set to sweep to power and says it is ready for business. But Labour will also inherit an economy suffering from a chronic lack of growth, a housing crisis, and failing public services. Nothing seems to be working properly and productivity has stagnated. Can Labour get the … Continue reading Broken Britain: can a Labour government fix it?
The Bank of England should ignore politics and cut rates on Thursday
The Bank of England risks becoming Public Enemy Number 1 again this week. On Thursday the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee will announce their latest decision on interest rates. If they surprise the markets by cutting rates just two weeks before election day, some will accuse them of trying to do the Conservatives a favour. On … Continue reading The Bank of England should ignore politics and cut rates on Thursday
Plain-speaking Economics 