Tag: inflation

Labour’s first 100 days – the economy

In response to overwhelming public demand (not really!) here is my take on the impact that the incoming Labour government has had on the UK economy. Clearly, it’s early days and there is still all to play for, but the initial signs are not encouraging. The obvious place to start is the health of the … Continue reading Labour’s first 100 days – the economy

Yes to a ‘step increase’ in public investment – but only a small one

Eight prominent economists have written a letter to the Financial Times arguing that the UK needs a ‘step increase’ in public investment in order to boost growth and to fix social and environmental problems. There is clearly something in this, but many risks too. As the writers correctly note, there is an emerging consensus that … Continue reading Yes to a ‘step increase’ in public investment – but only a small one

Labour’s plans for pensioners don’t go far enough

The Labour Government’s determination to restrict eligibility for Winter Fuel Payments is the sort of decision that the fictional Sir Humphrey Appleby would describe as ‘courageous’. The House of Commons’ motion calling on the Government to delay the implementation of this change has no real chance of passing. But why on earth are Keir Starmer … Continue reading Labour’s plans for pensioners don’t go far enough

A presentation on Brexit

Here are the slides (with a few tweaks and additions) from a presentation I made recently to an audience of economists in London. The presentation covers some strengths and weaknesses of the OBR's Brexit analysis and of 'doppelganger' models, and attempts to correct some common misunderstandings. It also includes some of my favourite charts! Brexit … Continue reading A presentation on Brexit