A week on from ‘Liberation Day’, Trump’s tariffs have not landed well in the financial markets, especially with a tit-for-tat trade war now breaking out between the US and China. That much is obvious. But there is still a lot to unpick. The simplest place to start is the stock markets. The US S&P 500 … Continue reading What to make of the latest market turmoil
Tag: gilts
What to make of soaring bond yields
The latest surge in gilt yields - which represents the cost of new borrowing by the UK government in the bond market - is yet another shock that the already fragile economy could do without. To be fair, this crisis is not entirely the making of Rachel Reeves and her October Budget. Bond yields have … Continue reading What to make of soaring bond yields
The Budget has just made the Bank’s job even harder
It is good to start for once with some praise for the Bank of England. After the Halloween Budget in the UK and the fireworks of election night in the US, the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee helped to calm the nerves by delivering the expected quarter point cut in interest rates (to 4.75pc) on Thursday. … Continue reading The Budget has just made the Bank’s job even harder
How much should we fear the return of the ‘bond vigilantes’?
BlackRock’s UK chief investment strategist, Vivek Paul, has warned this week that pre-election promises of large tax cuts or spending increases could unsettle the bond markets again. There are clear echoes here of the turmoil that followed the Truss/Kwarteng mini-Budget back in 2022. But how worried should we be? These warnings should not be dismissed … Continue reading How much should we fear the return of the ‘bond vigilantes’?
Plain-speaking Economics 