Tag: bank of england

Bank of England on hold until May

The Bank of England's latest decision on interest rates is announced on Thursday. Here's my take. (TL;DR - I predict a 'dovish hold', albeit with a couple of nagging worries.) The markets are almost certainly right to expect 'no change' this week, with the Bank’s key rate left at 4½%. After cutting by ¼% in … Continue reading Bank of England on hold until May →

What to make of today’s UK jobs data

Tuesday’s official data on the state of the UK labour market have been interpreted in several conflicting ways, so here is an attempt to cut through the fog. I took two main points from the figures themselves. First, activity in the labour market continues to cool. I would not pay much attention to the headline … Continue reading What to make of today’s UK jobs data →

Schools presentation on fiscal policy

Here the slides from a presentation I gave last week to A-level students of economics at a schools conference in Portsmouth. They include primers on the UK fiscal framework and the bond markets, the importance of confidence and credibility, and a comparison of the fallouts from the fiscal events in September 2022 and October 2024. … Continue reading Schools presentation on fiscal policy →