Category: US economy

The UK economy’s strong start to the year was a flash in the pan (reprise)

On Monday the Office for National Statistics (ONS) confirmed that the UK economy grew by 0.7% in the first quarter of the year, as measured by Gross Domestic Product (GDP). That may sound impressive and was certainly better than most had expected a few months earlier. But unfortunately, it was as good as it gets. … Continue reading The UK economy’s strong start to the year was a flash in the pan (reprise)

Does the UK’s weak growth in GDP per head really “lay bare the full costs of Brexit”?

Many people have asked me about this chart, which appeared in David Smith’s regular (and usually excellent) column in the Sunday Times this weekend. The chart shows that GDP per head has grown much faster since 2016 in the euro area than it has in the UK – ‘nearly three times as fast’, according to … Continue reading Does the UK’s weak growth in GDP per head really “lay bare the full costs of Brexit”?

What to make of Trump’s tariffs?

Here are the slides from a presentation I gave today to sixth form students at a school in Reading. It features a discussion of the pros and (mostly) cons of the new US tariffs policy and concludes with a recommended book and a film for budding economists! What to make of Trump's tariffs (9 May … Continue reading What to make of Trump’s tariffs?

President Trump is gradually undermining confidence in the dollar, one tirade at a time

Donald Trump’s latest tirade against the head of the US central bank is so obviously negative for the dollar that you have to wonder whether the President is deliberately trying to undermine the US currency. Remarkably, the answer may indeed be ‘yes’. On Monday, Trump used his social media platform to call Federal Reserve Chair … Continue reading President Trump is gradually undermining confidence in the dollar, one tirade at a time