If you believe the media coverage of the latest consumer confidence surveys, household spending is set to collapse under the weight of the cost of living crisis, dragging the UK economy into a deep recession. But how reliable are these signals? As always, it is worth digging past the headlines. The GfK measure of consumer … Continue reading Weak consumer confidence doesn’t necessarily signal recession
Category: UK economy
Brexit is not to blame for the surge in UK inflation
Ouch! It looks increasingly likely that the headline measure of consumer price inflation is going to start with a '9' in April...
Schools presentation on Brexit and Covid
Here are the slides from a virtual talk I gave today to a group of students from years 10 to 13... brexit-and-covid-25-april-2022-1Download
Why Sunak is (still) right to reject a windfall tax on energy companies
The Labour Party and LibDems are continuing to push hard for a ‘one-off’ windfall tax on the profits of North Sea oil and gas companies. These businesses are indeed likely to make more money than even they had expected, thanks to the surge in global energy prices. The European Commission has also supported the idea … Continue reading Why Sunak is (still) right to reject a windfall tax on energy companies
