The Bank of England’s decision to leave interest rates on hold this week was no surprise. However, there is still little sign that policymakers are thinking of cutting rates any time soon, despite stagnant growth and falling inflation. Indeed, three of the nine members of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted again for another quarter … Continue reading Rate cuts are coming, but the markets may have to force the Bank’s hand
Category: UK economy
Are Brexit supporters thick? (#QTWTAIN)
An academic study published this week found that people with ‘lower cognitive ability’ were more likely to vote Leave in the 2016 UK referendum on EU membership. This was, of course, seized upon by many Remainers as more evidence that Brexit was a ghastly mistake. But does this stack up, or it is just another … Continue reading Are Brexit supporters thick? (#QTWTAIN)
Give Rishi Sunak a little credit for hitting his inflation target – but not a lot
In January the Prime Minister outlined his five priorities for 2023. The first pledge was to “halve inflation this year to ease the cost of living and give people financial security.” The other targets are more challenging, but this one at least has now been met. This is because the CPI measure of inflation fell … Continue reading Give Rishi Sunak a little credit for hitting his inflation target – but not a lot
The IMF is right to be more worried about ‘Bidenomics’ than Brexit
This week the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has published its latest World Economic Outlook, October 2023: Navigating Global Divergences (imf.org). The headlines have focused on the IMF’s gloomy forecasts for the UK, which are even more nonsensical than usual. Unfortunately, this has drawn attention away from a far bigger concern – the fiscal madness in … Continue reading The IMF is right to be more worried about ‘Bidenomics’ than Brexit
Plain-speaking Economics 