Rachel Reeves’ first Budget was not all bad (see my response on the day here). For a start, the new fiscal rules, while still flawed, are an improvement on what went before. Balancing day-to-day spending with current tax revenue makes good economic sense, as does tweaking the targeted measure of debt to take more account … Continue reading Five ways in which the Budget could unravel
Category: Monetary policy
Labour’s first 100 days – the economy
In response to overwhelming public demand (not really!) here is my take on the impact that the incoming Labour government has had on the UK economy. Clearly, it’s early days and there is still all to play for, but the initial signs are not encouraging. The obvious place to start is the health of the … Continue reading Labour’s first 100 days – the economy
Bank of England rate cut should be the first of many
The Bank of England’s decision to cut UK interest rates to 5% this week was finely balanced but surely correct. The aim now should be to return rates to a 'neutral' level of around 4% early next year. The obvious starting point is that CPI inflation has now been at or very close to the … Continue reading Bank of England rate cut should be the first of many
The Bank of England should ignore politics and cut rates on Thursday
The Bank of England risks becoming Public Enemy Number 1 again this week. On Thursday the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee will announce their latest decision on interest rates. If they surprise the markets by cutting rates just two weeks before election day, some will accuse them of trying to do the Conservatives a favour. On … Continue reading The Bank of England should ignore politics and cut rates on Thursday
