The UK interest rate decision this week is finely balanced – so much so that I was not even sure which way I would vote. Nonetheless, over the course of writing this piece I have persuaded myself to switch to ‘no change’, even though the actual decision is still likely to be a cut. This … Continue reading Why the Bank of England should sit tight this week
Category: Labour markets
Budget speculation kills growth
The further contraction in the UK economy in October confirms that Budget speculation has killed growth, with GDP falling by 0.1% on both the single month and three month on three month comparisons. What’s more, the weakness was broad based (so not just the fallout from cyber attack at JLR). But this leaves some important questions to … Continue reading Budget speculation kills growth
Rachel Reeves gambles on a ‘make do and break promises’ Budget
After months of damaging speculation, the Chancellor delivered yet another ‘tax and spend’ Budget which will do little to tackle any of the UK’s deep-rooted economic problems. The Chancellor’s biggest challenge was to persuade enough people that she will not just be coming back again for more next year. Only time will tell whether this … Continue reading Rachel Reeves gambles on a ‘make do and break promises’ Budget
Will Rachel Reeves’ second Budget land any better than her first?
This is the final instalment of a short series previewing the Budget. It discusses how the statement might be received and what could - or should - be done differently. The first instalment began with a primer on the fiscal framework and a guesstimate of the size of the new financial hole, which could be as large … Continue reading Will Rachel Reeves’ second Budget land any better than her first?
Plain-speaking Economics 