Labour’s Rachel Reeves has scored some political points this week by claiming that the Conservatives have made £71 billion of “unfunded policy pledges”, and that this will “mean £4,800 on your mortgage”. But these calculations are simply absurd and easy to knock down. Let us start with the ‘£71 billion’. This figure first appeared in … Continue reading Rachel Reeves ‘£4,800’ mortgage claim is a house of cards
Tag: mortgage rates
Could a house price crash still trigger a recession?
Fingers crossed, it looks like the UK has dodged the severe recession that many had feared. But we are not out of the woods yet. Could a sharp fall in house prices still drag the economy down? Many better economists than me have been tripped up by their forecasts for the UK housing market. For … Continue reading Could a house price crash still trigger a recession?
Did the Truss/Kwarteng mini-Budget really cost the country £ [insert gigantic number here] billion?
Speculation that Liz Truss is about to make to return to frontline politics has prompted a flurry of dodgy claims and daft statistics about the economic cost of last September’s mini-Budget. Here's a quick debunking of the most common. I’ll start with the biggest number: £74 billion (sometimes cited as £73 billion). This appears to … Continue reading Did the Truss/Kwarteng mini-Budget really cost the country £ [insert gigantic number here] billion?
Plain-speaking Economics 