Tag: inflation

Will the July inflation data reveal an “Oasis bump”?

There has been some speculation that Wednesday’s UK CPI data for July will include an “Oasis bump”. In fact, the fallout from the reunion gigs is unlikely to have a significant impact on UK-wide inflation, and even less likely to influence UK monetary policy. Nonetheless, this is an interesting angle, so here goes anyway. (I’ve … Continue reading Will the July inflation data reveal an “Oasis bump”? →

Better news on growth, but still not good enough

The latest GDP data should ease fears that the UK economy is sliding back into recession. But growth is still too weak to fix the public finances, or encourage hiring and investment, and there are already signs that any positive momentum is fading again. First, though, the good news. GDP grew by 0.3% in the … Continue reading Better news on growth, but still not good enough →

The Government cannot take credit for the cuts in UK interest rates

The Bank of England’s decision to trim its key interest rate by another quarter point this week was widely expected, but there is still plenty to write about. Unfortunately, little of this is good news. For a start, why on earth is the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) still cutting rates when the Bank itself now … Continue reading The Government cannot take credit for the cuts in UK interest rates →