The unusually large revision to the gross domestic product (GDP) figures produced by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) is only the latest of a series of issues with UK economic data and forecasts. Recent news on the public finances has also been better than predicted by the Office for Budget Responsibility, while inflation has … Continue reading Dodgy data and even flakier forecasts are making policy much harder
Tag: GDP
Three big calls that Liz Truss got right
The all too brief premiership of Liz Truss began a year ago this week. The first anniversary is another good chance to reflect not just on what went wrong, but also on what she got right. (As a supporter of ‘Trussonomics’, I feel responsible as well.) There were two big mistakes. One was to underestimate … Continue reading Three big calls that Liz Truss got right
Rishi Sunak should hit his economic targets, but probably won’t get any credit
In January the Prime Minister outlined his five priorities for 2023. As well as promises to cut NHS waiting lists and pass new laws to stop small boats, there were three pledges on the economy. These three at least should be deliverable. The first pledge was to “halve inflation this year to ease the cost … Continue reading Rishi Sunak should hit his economic targets, but probably won’t get any credit
Why Mark Carney is wrong (again)
True to form, Mark Carney has made another unhelpful intervention in the Brexit debate. This time his remarks have generated more heat than light on the impact that the vote to leave the EU might have had on UK inflation. And by appearing to validate fears that UK interest rates have a lot further to … Continue reading Why Mark Carney is wrong (again)
