Tag: fiscal rules

“The OBR: 15 years on”

I recently submitted some written evidence (or at least some opinions!) to the Treasury Select Committee’s new inquiry reflecting on the Office for Budget Responsibility’s (OBR) first 15 years. In case of wider interest, I have pasted the text below (in the format requested by the Committee). Written evidence to the Treasury Select Committee Submitted by … Continue reading “The OBR: 15 years on”

The Chancellor is set to raise taxes again – by as much as £30 billion

It has felt like an eternity, but Chancellor Rachel Reeves will finally unveil her second Autumn Budget on Wednesday 26 November. This blog begins with an explanation of how the Budget process works, then attempts to estimate the size of the new financial hole. The next instalment will look at how she is likely to … Continue reading The Chancellor is set to raise taxes again – by as much as £30 billion

A bitcoin windfall won’t save the Chancellor

This weekend the Sunday Telegraph reported that Rachel Reeves is eyeing a “£5bn Bitcoin sale” to ease the pressure on the public finances. Some commentators have grasped the wrong end of the stick here; one-off sales of financial assets could not be used to fill a “black hole” under the current fiscal rules, at least … Continue reading A bitcoin windfall won’t save the Chancellor

Is defence spending good for growth?

The right amount to spend on defence should, of course, primarily be a decision based on the benefits to our security. But could more defence spending also be good for growth? The short answer is ‘not necessarily’. The overall impact on the economy will depend on how the additional spending is financed, and on whether … Continue reading Is defence spending good for growth?