Tag: fiscal rules

Is defence spending good for growth?

The right amount to spend on defence should, of course, primarily be a decision based on the benefits to our security. But could more defence spending also be good for growth? The short answer is ‘not necessarily’. The overall impact on the economy will depend on how the additional spending is financed, and on whether … Continue reading Is defence spending good for growth?

10 things to look for in the Spring Statement

Here is a short post on some key points to watch for tomorrow when the Chancellor presents her ‘Spring Statement’ to the UK parliament (at about 12.30). More questions than answers, I’m afraid, but I will follow up once we know more! 1. The immediate outlook for growth. The OBR is widely expected to halve … Continue reading 10 things to look for in the Spring Statement

First thoughts on the Budget

Above all, this was a Budget for a bigger state. Public spending will be even higher, financed by large increases both in taxation and in government borrowing. In addition, the Budget continues the steady ratcheting up of state intervention and regulation, including another large increase in minimum wages. This is very hard to square with … Continue reading First thoughts on the Budget

False economies on spending could be just as damaging as tax hikes

So far, the speculation ahead of the Budget on 30 October has focused on the scramble to find tax increases that might not breach Labour’s manifesto commitments, while still having some chance of actually raising some money. This is clearly not going well. Rachel Reeves may end up as the only economist in the country … Continue reading False economies on spending could be just as damaging as tax hikes