Category: Monetary policy

Rishi Sunak should hit his economic targets, but probably won’t get any credit

In January the Prime Minister outlined his five priorities for 2023. As well as promises to cut NHS waiting lists and pass new laws to stop small boats, there were three pledges on the economy. These three at least should be deliverable. The first pledge was to “halve inflation this year to ease the cost … Continue reading Rishi Sunak should hit his economic targets, but probably won’t get any credit →

What a Pill

The Bank of England’s Chief Economist, Huw Pill, has caused another public relations disaster by criticising workers for demanding higher pay - and firms for passing on higher costs. Instead, he told a podcast from Columbia Law School, “someone needs to accept that they’re worse off”. Let’s begin with a recap of what Pill was … Continue reading What a Pill →

UK food price inflation set to fall sharply

First, the bad news. The lowlight of the latest UK inflation data was that the consumer price (CPI) measure of food price inflation jumped even further in March – to 19.1%. This contributed about 2.2 percentage points to the overall inflation rate of 10.1%. With ‘core’ inflation still stubbornly high (over 6%), food price inflation … Continue reading UK food price inflation set to fall sharply →

What the IMF is really saying about interest rates

The IMF’s latest World Economic Outlook has received more attention than usual, thanks to some eye-catching work on the long-term trend in interest rates. This has prompted headlines ranging from “Ultra-low interest rates will return in Britain, IMF says” in the Telegraph, to “New IMF prediction is good news for homeowners” in the Mirror. So … Continue reading What the IMF is really saying about interest rates →