The answer to this question partly depends on your definition of ‘recession’, but I can think of at least three ways of approaching it. First, "two quarters of falling GDP"? Probably 'no', or at least not yet. Second, "two quarters of falling GDP per head"? Almost certainly 'yes'. Indeed, we already appear to be in … Continue reading Is the UK sliding back into ‘recession’?
Category: Labour markets
Schools presentation on the ‘productivity puzzle’
Here are the slides from a presentation I made today to sixth-formers at a conference hosted by my old school (hence the horrendous photo!) Schools presentation on the productivity puzzle (Jan 2025)Download
Labour is gaslighting the public to hide its economic failings
In a recent interview, Chancellor Rachel Reeves insisted that she would not ‘gaslight’ working people over her plans to turn the economy around. Unfortunately, this merely turned up the dial on the irony meter. The new government has consistently made dodgy claims in an attempt to convince voters that the reality is somehow different from … Continue reading Labour is gaslighting the public to hide its economic failings
UK economy has stalled but disaster not yet inevitable
First, the bad news – and there is plenty of it. Updated figures from the Office for National Statistics show that the UK economy failed to grow at all in the third quarter of the year, revised down from an increase in GDP of just 0.1%. Most forecasters, including the Bank of England, expect zero … Continue reading UK economy has stalled but disaster not yet inevitable
