It is so much simpler to interpret the UK economy if you attribute every single problem to Brexit. But it is also wrong. Last week, for example, the EU statistics agency Eurostat released preliminary data suggesting that consumer price inflation in the euro area fell from 8.5pc in February to ‘just’ 6.9pc in March, including a … Continue reading No, our inflation problem is not due to Brexit
Category: Brexit
Prospects for UK manufacturing are brighter than Make UK suggests
The quarterly ‘Manufacturing Outlook’ survey from Make UK (formerly the Engineering Employers’ Federation) is one of the better examples of its kind. It has clearly been written up by some serious economists, which I obviously think is a ‘good thing’. Nonetheless, the headlines appear to paint an overly gloomy picture of the prospects for the … Continue reading Prospects for UK manufacturing are brighter than Make UK suggests
A quick ‘thumbs up’ to the ‘Edinburgh Reforms’
The ‘Edinburgh Reforms’ are a sensible package of measures which should improve the competitiveness of the UK financial sector and boost growth across the whole economy. Fears that a ‘bonfire of regulations’ will lead to a ‘race to the bottom’ are misplaced. Many of the rules introduced after the global financial crisis went much further … Continue reading A quick ‘thumbs up’ to the ‘Edinburgh Reforms’
What Mark Carney got wrong
In a recent interview with the Financial Times, former Bank of England Governor Mark Carney made the striking claim that ‘in 2016 the British economy was 90% the size of Germany’s. Now it is less than 70%’. This claim is garbage, for two reasons. Unfortunately, it is just one of a tsunami of fake statistics … Continue reading What Mark Carney got wrong
Plain-speaking Economics 