Tag: news

Is Britain really fated for economic decline?

Another day, another flurry of bad news on the fallout from October’s Budget. The BDO Monthly Business Trends indices - which pull together the results of all the main UK business surveys – show that confidence has fallen to the lowest level in almost two years, with output and employment down, and only inflation up. … Continue reading Is Britain really fated for economic decline? →

The real ‘black hole’ is in public sector productivity

The Nobel Prize-winning economist, Paul Krugman, once famously said that “productivity isn’t everything, but in the long run it is almost everything”. If so, the UK has a huge problem – and that problem is particularly acute in the public sector. Official estimates released last week suggest that public service productivity was an astonishing 8.5 … Continue reading The real ‘black hole’ is in public sector productivity →

Five ways in which the Budget could unravel

Rachel Reeves’ first Budget was not all bad (see my response on the day here). For a start, the new fiscal rules, while still flawed, are an improvement on what went before. Balancing day-to-day spending with current tax revenue makes good economic sense, as does tweaking the targeted measure of debt to take more account … Continue reading Five ways in which the Budget could unravel →

First thoughts on the Budget

Above all, this was a Budget for a bigger state. Public spending will be even higher, financed by large increases both in taxation and in government borrowing. In addition, the Budget continues the steady ratcheting up of state intervention and regulation, including another large increase in minimum wages. This is very hard to square with … Continue reading First thoughts on the Budget →