A week since the US and Israel attacked Iran seems a good time to take stock of the implications for the UK economy and markets. Here are six key points. 1. The energy markets are pricing in a relatively benign scenario The energy markets appear to be banking on a short war, with only temporary disruption … Continue reading Six key points on the Iran war
Tag: natural gas
Tumbling energy prices will provide just a little relief from a tariff war
President Trump’s tariff war has already had a large number of consequences – intended or otherwise – for the global economy. But the slump in energy prices is at least one result that we can welcome. On Monday the price of a barrel of Brent fell to US$64, down about 16pc from the average of … Continue reading Tumbling energy prices will provide just a little relief from a tariff war
Red Sea crisis is unlikely to blow inflation off course
The disruption to shipping through the Red Sea – and the possibility of a further escalation of the Middle East crisis – are serious threats to the global economy. Nonetheless, the wider fallout should be limited. UK inflation might sink a little more slowly than it would otherwise have done, but it should continue to … Continue reading Red Sea crisis is unlikely to blow inflation off course
The cap on energy prices is a gamble that is about to pay off
Critics of ‘Trussonomics’ – and there are many – have been quick to claim that the new energy price plan puts its economic credibility at risk. Indeed, early estimates suggested that the ‘Energy Price Guarantee’ could cost the taxpayer £150 billion or more over two years, making it the most expensive economic policy in history. … Continue reading The cap on energy prices is a gamble that is about to pay off
Plain-speaking Economics 