Tag: MPC

Bank of England remains in the slow lane on rate cuts

The Bank of England’s decision to hold interest rates at 3.75% today was no great surprise, but the 5-4 vote was much closer than most had anticipated. Unfortunately, this dovish tilt owes more to rising concerns about growth and jobs than it does to increasing optimism about inflation, even though the two are of course related. In … Continue reading Bank of England remains in the slow lane on rate cuts

Will the July inflation data reveal an “Oasis bump”?

There has been some speculation that Wednesday’s UK CPI data for July will include an “Oasis bump”. In fact, the fallout from the reunion gigs is unlikely to have a significant impact on UK-wide inflation, and even less likely to influence UK monetary policy. Nonetheless, this is an interesting angle, so here goes anyway. (I’ve … Continue reading Will the July inflation data reveal an “Oasis bump”?

The Government cannot take credit for the cuts in UK interest rates

The Bank of England’s decision to trim its key interest rate by another quarter point this week was widely expected, but there is still plenty to write about. Unfortunately, little of this is good news. For a start, why on earth is the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) still cutting rates when the Bank itself now … Continue reading The Government cannot take credit for the cuts in UK interest rates

No, the MPC doesn’t have a time machine…

The larger than anticipated jump in UK inflation in April has prompted many to argue that the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee will now be much slower to cut interest rates. But there is, of course, nothing that the MPC can do now about last month’s CPI. The right question to ask is what … Continue reading No, the MPC doesn’t have a time machine…