Tag: government borrowing

How might the Chancellor fill a £30 billion hole?

My previous blog post showed that, based on some reasonable assumptions, the Chancellor could have to find another £30 billion from tax increases. It is hard to see how this can be done without touching the big revenue raisers – namely income tax, National Insurance (again), and VAT. Indeed, earlier this month the Chancellor reportedly asked the … Continue reading How might the Chancellor fill a £30 billion hole?

The Chancellor is set to raise taxes again – by as much as £30 billion

It has felt like an eternity, but Chancellor Rachel Reeves will finally unveil her second Autumn Budget on Wednesday 26 November. This blog begins with an explanation of how the Budget process works, then attempts to estimate the size of the new financial hole. The next instalment will look at how she is likely to … Continue reading The Chancellor is set to raise taxes again – by as much as £30 billion

November Budget needs to be big and bold

A year ago, the Chancellor promised that the £40 billion of tax increases announced in her first Budget would be a “one-off”. But it is now almost certain that her second Budget next month will deliver more of the same. What’s gone wrong? The technical answer is that OBR is expected to predict that the … Continue reading November Budget needs to be big and bold

Raising income tax would be an act of desperation

The Chancellor is facing growing calls to ‘bite the bullet’ and raise the basic rate of income tax in the November Budget. This would carry huge economic and political risks, but Rachel Reeves may have left herself with no choice. It is already likely that the freeze on personal tax thresholds will be extended for … Continue reading Raising income tax would be an act of desperation