Tag: government borrowing

“How sustainable is our national debt?”

Earlier this year I gave oral evidence to the Economic Affairs Committee of the House of Lords on the state of the public finances. I'm pleased to say they included many of my thoughts in their final report, available here. Some excerpts. On the level of the debt-to-GDP ratio... 31. When considering the implications of … Continue reading “How sustainable is our national debt?”

Labour’s plans for pensioners don’t go far enough

The Labour Government’s determination to restrict eligibility for Winter Fuel Payments is the sort of decision that the fictional Sir Humphrey Appleby would describe as ‘courageous’. The House of Commons’ motion calling on the Government to delay the implementation of this change has no real chance of passing. But why on earth are Keir Starmer … Continue reading Labour’s plans for pensioners don’t go far enough

Labour’s fiscal credibility is at risk if the Chancellor keeps shifting the goalposts

Rachel Reeves is said to be considering a technical change to the measure of debt used in the fiscal rules in order to allow more government borrowing. This move may not be as outrageous as some suggest, but it would not be costless either. And there is certainly no silver bullet to fix the public … Continue reading Labour’s fiscal credibility is at risk if the Chancellor keeps shifting the goalposts

“Abacus Economics 2.0”

It is tempting to dismiss Rachel Reeves’ statement to Parliament on the health of the public finances as merely a piece of political theatre. The main purpose was indeed to blame the Conservatives for the consequences of decisions taken by the new Labour government, and to prepare the ground for tax rises in the Autumn. But there … Continue reading “Abacus Economics 2.0”