A week since the US and Israel attacked Iran seems a good time to take stock of the implications for the UK economy and markets. Here are six key points. 1. The energy markets are pricing in a relatively benign scenario The energy markets appear to be banking on a short war, with only temporary disruption … Continue reading Six key points on the Iran war
Tag: gilts
How could a bond market crisis unfold?
The yields on UK government bonds, commonly known as “gilts”, are now consistently the highest among the G7 group of advanced economies. Why is this, and why should the rest of us care? The numbers alone are disturbing. The cost of new government borrowing for ten years is now around 4.8% in the UK, compared … Continue reading How could a bond market crisis unfold?
A bitcoin windfall won’t save the Chancellor
This weekend the Sunday Telegraph reported that Rachel Reeves is eyeing a “£5bn Bitcoin sale” to ease the pressure on the public finances. Some commentators have grasped the wrong end of the stick here; one-off sales of financial assets could not be used to fill a “black hole” under the current fiscal rules, at least … Continue reading A bitcoin windfall won’t save the Chancellor
The Government should not be telling pension funds where to invest
The Pension Schemes Bill (recently introduced for its second reading in Parliament) continues some sensible reforms which should tidy up the industry and boost returns for savers. However, these measures have been overshadowed by a pointless row over plans to direct more investment towards “private assets”. Most strikingly, in an interview with the Financial Times last Monday, the chief executive … Continue reading The Government should not be telling pension funds where to invest
Plain-speaking Economics 