As every student of economics or history show know, free trade is a win-win. The escalation in the tariff war between the US and China will therefore be a lose-lose for both parties. Nonetheless, China is more likely to come out on top. This may seem counter intuitive. After all, China benefits from a huge … Continue reading Why China can still win a trade war with the US
Category: financial markets
What to make of the latest market turmoil
A week on from ‘Liberation Day’, Trump’s tariffs have not landed well in the financial markets, especially with a tit-for-tat trade war now breaking out between the US and China. That much is obvious. But there is still a lot to unpick. The simplest place to start is the stock markets. The US S&P 500 … Continue reading What to make of the latest market turmoil
Tumbling energy prices will provide just a little relief from a tariff war
President Trump’s tariff war has already had a large number of consequences – intended or otherwise – for the global economy. But the slump in energy prices is at least one result that we can welcome. On Monday the price of a barrel of Brent fell to US$64, down about 16pc from the average of … Continue reading Tumbling energy prices will provide just a little relief from a tariff war
Thirteen questions and twelve answers on Trump’s tariff war
By popular demand, here is a bitesize Q&A on tariffs. In short, there are no winners from a trade war, but it is not too late to avoid a global recession. For now, ‘wait and see’ may be the best strategy both for central bankers and investors. 1. Do the new ‘reciprocal tariffs’ make any … Continue reading Thirteen questions and twelve answers on Trump’s tariff war
Plain-speaking Economics 