Spare a thought for the staff of the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), beavering away on a new set of economic and fiscal forecasts for the Chancellor’s Spring Statement on 23rd March. The fallout from the Russian invasion of Ukraine has made a difficulty task almost impossible. It makes sense to present a range of … Continue reading Too soon to write off the recovery – or raise taxes
Tag: inflation
When facts change, fiscal policy should change too
Putin’s murderous assault on the people of Ukraine is a threat to peace and security worldwide. But someone also has to worry about the impact on the UK economy. The fallout should prompt a rethink of the response to the cost of living crisis and the tax hikes planned for April. The catastrophe in Ukraine … Continue reading When facts change, fiscal policy should change too
Schools presentation on the economic outlook
Here are the slides from a talk I gave this lunchtime to sixth-form students interested in economics and finance... global-economic-overview-21-february-2022Download
New energy rebates would mean ‘pay less now, but more later’
The energy regulator Ofgem is about to announce what is likely to be a very large increase in the cap on domestic gas and electricity bills, to take effect from April, prompting a scramble for ways to limit the damage. The Times is reporting that officials are finalising plans to limit the damage for a … Continue reading New energy rebates would mean ‘pay less now, but more later’
