Rachel Reeves’ Scene Setter speech today was clearly designed to pave the way for big tax increases in the Budget. But there are plenty of moving parts and much could still change, even now. The Chancellor put her excuses in early (blaming everyone else), attempted a positive spin (tough choices are “necessary” to protect the NHS and … Continue reading Rachel Reeves sets the scene – for big tax rises?
Category: Budget
The Government should rethink its plans for the National Living Wage
The Times is reporting today (Saturday) that the Chancellor is likely to confirm a rise in the National Living Wage (NLW) of about 4%, from £12.21 to at least £12.70, in next month’s Budget. She will also recommit to extending the full living wage to young people between the ages of 18 and 21 (where a lower … Continue reading The Government should rethink its plans for the National Living Wage
“What economists do”
In case of wider interest, here are the slides from a talk I gave yesterday at a sixth form college in Cambridge, arranged via Speakers for Schools. What economists do (Sep 2025)Download
Raising income tax would be an act of desperation
The Chancellor is facing growing calls to ‘bite the bullet’ and raise the basic rate of income tax in the November Budget. This would carry huge economic and political risks, but Rachel Reeves may have left herself with no choice. It is already likely that the freeze on personal tax thresholds will be extended for … Continue reading Raising income tax would be an act of desperation
Plain-speaking Economics 