Tag: interest rates

“How sustainable is our national debt?”

Earlier this year I gave oral evidence to the Economic Affairs Committee of the House of Lords on the state of the public finances. I'm pleased to say they included many of my thoughts in their final report, available here. Some excerpts. On the level of the debt-to-GDP ratio... 31. When considering the implications of … Continue reading “How sustainable is our national debt?”

Bank of England rate cut should be the first of many

The Bank of England’s decision to cut UK interest rates to 5% this week was finely balanced but surely correct. The aim now should be to return rates to a 'neutral' level of around 4% early next year. The obvious starting point is that CPI inflation has now been at or very close to the … Continue reading Bank of England rate cut should be the first of many

Broken Britain: can a Labour government fix it?

Keir Starmer’s suited and rebooted Labour Party looks set to sweep to power and says it is ready for business. But Labour will also inherit an economy suffering from a chronic lack of growth, a housing crisis, and failing public services. Nothing seems to be working properly and productivity has stagnated. Can Labour get the … Continue reading Broken Britain: can a Labour government fix it?

The Bank of England should ignore politics and cut rates on Thursday

The Bank of England risks becoming Public Enemy Number 1 again this week. On Thursday the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee will announce their latest decision on interest rates. If they surprise the markets by cutting rates just two weeks before election day, some will accuse them of trying to do the Conservatives a favour. On … Continue reading The Bank of England should ignore politics and cut rates on Thursday